This file contains the text of an email I sent to Nick Katz in late October of the year 2000. I have corrected two typographical errors, but have left the letter otherwise unchanged. The math discussed in the letter became the basis for the paper "Variations in the distribution of principally polarized abelian varieties among isogeny classes," described here: http://ewhowe.com/papers/paper50.html Note that the URL and the affiliation in my .sig are now both outdated. --- Everett Howe, May 2020 ======================================================================== Date: Thu, 26 Oct 2000 11:48:55 -0700 (PDT) From: "Everett W. Howe" To: Nick Katz Subject: Frobenius eigenvalue distribution Dear Nick, I've come up with a pretty simple heuristic argument "explaining" the limiting distribution of Frobenius eigenvalues for principally polarized abelian varieties over finite fields, and I wonder whether you and Sarnak had thought of this as well. I'm not optimistic about the chances of turning the argument into an actual proof --- it uses the Brauer-Siegel theorem at a certain point, and loses a lot of accuracy at that point --- but it probably can be made to prove a weaker version of your theorem with Sarnak. Of course you know of the following heuristic for elliptic curves: The number of elliptic curves with trace t over F_q is equal to the class number of the imaginary quadratic order of discriminant Delta = t^2 - 4*q, and you expect that the class number will be about Sqrt(|Delta|), so you expect to get the familiar semi-circular distribution of traces. What I can do is generalize this heuristic to higher dimensions. Here's the argument: Consider an isogeny class C of n-dimensional abelian varieties over a finite field F_q. Let's assume that C is *ordinary* and that C is *simple*. Then the Weil polynomial associated to C is an irreducible polynomial f of degree 2n. Let pi be a root of f in Qbar, let K be the CM-field Q(pi), and let K+ be the maximal real subfield of K. Let pibar be the complex conjugate of pi. Consider the order R = Z[pi, pibar] of K and the order R+ = Z[pi+pibar] of K+. I want to make the following assumptions: 1. R is the maximal order of K (which implies that R+ is the maximal order of K+); 2. K is ramified over K+ at a finite prime; 3. The unit group of R is equal to the unit group of R+. (It will still be possible to say something when these assumptions are not met, but they make life easier, and they are not too unreasonable.) Now, the abelian varieties in the isogeny class C correspond (via Deligne's paper [Invent. Math. 8 1969 238--243]) to the isomorphism classes of those finitely-generated R-modules that can be embedded as lattices in K. Our first assumption implies that the isomorphism classes of these R-modules are simply the ideal classes of K. My thesis [Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 347 (1995) 2361--2401] shows that there is an ideal class J in the narrow class group of K+ with the following property: An ideal class I of K corresponds to an abelian variety that has a principal polarization if and only if N(I) = J, where N is the norm from the class group of K to the narrow class group of K+. Our second assumption shows that this norm map is surjective, so we find that the number of abelian varieties in C that have a principal polarization is equal to the quotient h(K) / h+(K+) of the class number of K by the narrow class number of K+. Now, if an abelian variety A in C has at least one principal polarization, then the number of non-isomorphic principal polarizations on A is equal to the index [(totally positive units of K+) : (norms of units of K)] and our third assumption shows that this index is equal to [(totally positive units of K+) : (squares of units of K+)], and this index is equal to the quotient of the narrow class number of K+ by the regular class number of K+. Thus, the number of principally-polarized varieties (A,lambda) with A in C is equal to the quotient h(K)/h(K+). Now let's use Brauer-Siegel. It is easy to show that the discriminant of the ring R = Z[pi,pibar] is equal (up to sign) to the norm from K to Q of (pi - pibar) times the square of the discriminant of R+. Thus, the ratio of Delta(R) to Delta(R+) is equal to N(pi-pibar)*Delta(R+). Let pi_1, ..., pi_n, pibar_1, ..., pibar_n be the images of pi in the complex numbers, and let theta_1, ..., theta_n be the corresponding arguments. Then N(pi-pibar) is equal to a certain power of q times a certain power of 2 times the product \prod_{i} (\sin\theta_i)^2 and the discriminant of R+ = Z[pi+pibar] is equal to a certain power of q times a certain power of 2 times the product \prod_{i